Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 1
LOS
70%
18%
11%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
COM
2 - 0
SPC
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CIE
1 - 1
SPC
33%
27%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 2
HUA
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 1
SPC
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 0
UTC
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
HUA
1 - 1
UTC
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 0
UTC
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
UTC
0 - 2
ALI
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
UTC
0 - 0
CAL
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |