Sporting Cristal vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
EST
4 - 3
SPC
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 1
SPC
25%
28%
48%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
SPC
2 - 1
GAL
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
SPC
1 - 2
SFE
64%
20%
15%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
CIE
2 - 0
SPC
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 0
SPO
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 2
LIG
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
BOL
1 - 0
UNI
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
ROC
0 - 0
UNI
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 2
MEL
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |