Sporting Cristal vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
SPC
3 - 2
GAL
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
AYA
2 - 0
SPC
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SPC
4 - 0
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
AUR
0 - 0
SPC
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
SPO
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
UNA
1 - 1
VAL
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 0
AUR
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 2
ALI
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AYA
2 - 1
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |