Sporting Cristal vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
AYA
2 - 0
SPC
26%
23%
51%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
SPC
0 - 3
OLI
28%
25%
48%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SPC
2 - 0
MUN
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CAN
0 - 0
SPC
16%
21%
64%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SPC
4 - 1
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 0
GOD
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
ULC
3 - 1
UCO
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 1
ANT
41%
27%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCH
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |