Sporting Cristal vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
SPC
2 - 2
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1999 |
SPC
1 - 1
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1999 |
UCO
1 - 1
SPC
69%
18%
14%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1999 |
UNI
2 - 1
SPC
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
SPC
1 - 1
COL
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
UCO
3 - 1
COL
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
UCO
1 - 0
UNI
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1999 |
UCO
1 - 1
SPC
69%
18%
14%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1999 |
COL
1 - 0
UCO
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1998 |
UCO
2 - 1
OLI
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |