Sporting Cristal vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1969 |
SPC
2 - 1
SWA
65%
18%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1969 |
SPC
3 - 3
AUR
63%
18%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1968 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SPC
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1968 |
SPC
1 - 1
EME
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1968 |
SPC
2 - 0
POR
81%
11%
7%
|
77 | 18 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1969 |
AUR
2 - 4
UCO
51%
21%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1969 |
UCO
1 - 3
SWA
63%
18%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
UCO
0 - 1
PAL
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1968 |
PAL
4 - 1
UCO
64%
20%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
GUA
3 - 1
UCO
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |