Sporting Cristal vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
SBO
1 - 1
SPC
25%
24%
51%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SPC
1 - 0
HUA
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
HUA
1 - 1
SPC
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 3
SPC
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SPC
4 - 1
SAM
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
COM
2 - 0
CAN
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
CAN
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 1
COM
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
COM
2 - 2
GAR
23%
24%
52%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
MUN
2 - 1
COM
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -3 |