Sporting Cristal vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 0
SPC
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 4
SPC
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
SPC
3 - 0
ALI
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 1
SPC
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 1
PEÑ
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
SAM
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 0
COM
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
3 - 3
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
COM
0 - 3
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 1
COM
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |