Sporting Cristal vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 2
ALI
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 0
CIE
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
HUA
1 - 2
SPC
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 1
SPC
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 3
SPC
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 0
COM
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
COM
2 - 1
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
HUA
2 - 1
COM
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
AUR
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 1
COM
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |