Sporting Cristal vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
SPC
1 - 0
ALI
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GAR
2 - 1
SPC
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PAC
0 - 1
SPC
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SPC
1 - 0
HUA
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SPC
4 - 2
VAL
60%
22%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 0
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
GAR
33%
31%
36%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ALI
3 - 0
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
COM
2 - 1
VAL
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 0
COM
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |