Sporting Cristal vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 0
SPC
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SPC
0 - 1
ATM
20%
24%
57%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
GAR
3 - 0
SPC
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 1
GAR
62%
21%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SPC
0 - 0
MEL
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
GAR
30%
31%
39%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 0
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2013 |
COM
2 - 1
PAC
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
AYA
4 - 0
COM
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
COM
1 - 0
MEL
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |