Sporting Cristal vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 1
SPC
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SBO
0 - 1
SPC
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 2
MEL
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 0
GAL
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
CNI
0 - 0
COM
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
COM
2 - 0
ALI
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AUR
3 - 2
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ALI
4 - 1
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
UNI
4 - 2
COM
32%
24%
44%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -2 |