Sporting Cristal vs UNAP Iquitos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
GAL
3 - 1
SPC
36%
27%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 1
AYA
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 0
SPC
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
UNAP Iquitos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
UNA
2 - 1
GAL
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
UNA
1 - 1
AYA
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
UNA
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
UNA
0 - 3
ALI
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |