Sporting Cristal vs Total Chalaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 2
SPC
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 1
SPC
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SPC
5 - 2
CNI
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
AYA
2 - 1
SPC
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SPC
4 - 1
HUA
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
TOT
0 - 0
GAL
62%
21%
16%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CNI
1 - 2
TOT
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
TOT
1 - 3
UNI
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
TOT
1 - 0
AYA
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
TOT
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |