Sporting Cristal vs Total Chalaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
TOT
2 - 1
SPC
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
SPC
0 - 0
BOL
59%
22%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
SPO
2 - 0
SPC
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
SPC
3 - 1
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
CIE
1 - 0
SPC
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
TOT
2 - 1
SPC
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
SBO
2 - 1
TOT
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
TOT
1 - 2
ALI
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
ALI
1 - 0
TOT
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
TOT
1 - 3
MUN
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |