Sporting Cristal vs Total Chalaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BOL
3 - 1
SPC
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
UNI
3 - 1
SPC
48%
27%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
SPC
2 - 2
CIE
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
SAM
2 - 2
SPC
42%
29%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
SPC
1 - 3
MEL
69%
19%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
TOT
2 - 1
SBO
48%
25%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
ALI
3 - 0
TOT
59%
25%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
TOT
0 - 2
ALI
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
MUN
3 - 0
TOT
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
MEL
3 - 1
TOT
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -2 |