Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SPC
5 - 0
BIN
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MEL
1 - 0
SPC
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
SPC
1 - 2
ALI
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
HUA
0 - 1
SPC
36%
25%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SPC
2 - 1
SBO
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 0
BOT
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
COR
0 - 0
PAL
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 1
COR
51%
25%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAO
53%
24%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
SAO
0 - 3
PAL
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |