Sporting Cristal vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2001 |
EME
3 - 1
SPC
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
SPC
3 - 2
OLI
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2001 |
CRZ
5 - 0
SPC
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2001 |
SPC
0 - 1
CRZ
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2001 |
SPC
0 - 1
EME
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
CEN
0 - 5
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2001 |
NAC
0 - 0
SLO
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
OLI
0 - 2
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2001 |
NAC
4 - 1
FLA
31%
24%
44%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
SLO
2 - 0
NAC
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |