Sporting Cristal vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 2
SPC
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SPC
2 - 2
MUN
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CIE
2 - 2
SPC
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SPC
4 - 0
AYA
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
UTC
2 - 3
SPC
22%
26%
52%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
AUR
2 - 2
UNI
55%
24%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
AUR
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
HUA
1 - 0
AUR
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
AUR
3 - 0
LEO
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 1
AUR
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |