Sporting Cristal vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SPC
5 - 1
AYA
70%
18%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
SPC
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
SPC
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 3
GAR
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 0
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
COM
3 - 2
AUR
33%
26%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
AUR
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 3
ALI
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AYA
3 - 2
AUR
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |