Sporting Cristal vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
GAL
0 - 2
SPC
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 1
SPC
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
SPC
40%
28%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SPC
2 - 0
AYA
60%
22%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
SPC
2 - 2
HUA
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 0
CIE
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
HUA
1 - 0
AUR
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
ALI
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
AUR
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
AYA
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |