Sporting Cristal vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
UNA
3 - 1
SPC
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 3
VAL
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
SPC
3 - 2
GAL
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
AYA
2 - 0
SPC
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
AUR
39%
29%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 1
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GAL
3 - 1
AUR
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 0
AYA
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 0
AUR
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |