Sporting Cristal vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 0
SPC
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 0
GAL
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 2
SPC
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
SPC
0 - 1
ALI
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 2
SPC
28%
27%
46%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 3
AUR
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
AUR
3 - 1
HUA
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CIE
5 - 1
AUR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
AUR
3 - 2
SPO
63%
22%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
AUR
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |