Sporting Cristal vs José Gálvez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
SPC
54%
25%
20%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
UNA
0 - 2
SPC
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 1
ALI
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
AYA
1 - 3
SPC
46%
26%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 1
TOT
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
GAL
2 - 6
UNA
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
GAL
0 - 1
UNI
26%
31%
43%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
AYA
6 - 0
GAL
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
TOT
0 - 0
GAL
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GAL
0 - 0
SAM
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |