Sporting Cristal vs José Gálvez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 2
SPC
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
SPC
0 - 1
ALI
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 2
SPC
28%
27%
46%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 1
UNI
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
AYA
3 - 1
SPC
35%
30%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 1
GAL
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 1
CNI
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 0
GAL
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 1
MEL
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
GAL
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |