Sporting Cristal vs José Gálvez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
SPC
0 - 1
SBO
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 1
SPC
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
SPC
1 - 2
BOL
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
SPC
0 - 1
UNI
66%
21%
14%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
GAL
1 - 2
CIE
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 0
GAL
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
GAL
2 - 1
UNI
65%
20%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
MEL
2 - 0
GAL
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
GAL
4 - 0
ALI
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |