Perú Liga 1 - Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 6-2
Sporting Cristal vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SPC
1 - 1
AYA
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
SPC
3 - 2
CAN
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
UTC
1 - 1
SPC
25%
24%
52%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
SPC
2 - 2
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
BIN
1 - 2
SPC
23%
22%
55%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SPC
1 - 1
AYA
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
AYA
1 - 0
MAN
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
SBO
0 - 1
AYA
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
AYA
3 - 1
GAR
45%
26%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 1
AYA
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |