Sporting Cristal vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
UTC
2 - 3
SPC
22%
26%
52%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SPC
4 - 1
ALI
77%
16%
8%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
COM
1 - 4
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 0
SPC
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SPC
2 - 1
SPO
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 0
AYA
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
AYA
2 - 2
GAR
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
HUA
2 - 2
AYA
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
3 - 2
AYA
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AYA
1 - 0
SAM
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |