Sporting Cristal vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
SPC
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 2
MEL
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 1
SPC
30%
28%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
SPC
24%
23%
53%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 0
AUR
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
AYA
3 - 1
CIE
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
HUA
1 - 3
AYA
49%
24%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
ALI
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ALI
4 - 0
AYA
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 2
LEO
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |