Sporting Cristal vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
HUA
1 - 0
SPC
19%
23%
58%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 0
ALI
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
26%
22%
52%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 1
SBO
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 3
SPC
26%
24%
50%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAN
51%
25%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 0
PER
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 2
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MUN
1 - 3
MEL
28%
27%
46%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MEL
6 - 0
SAM
66%
21%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |