Sporting Cristal vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 3
SPC
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 0
SPC
24%
23%
53%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
SPC
4 - 0
SAM
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 1
SPC
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
PIR
0 - 0
SPC
19%
25%
56%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2019 |
UCE
6 - 0
MEL
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 1
SBO
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 2
MEL
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
JUN
0 - 1
MEL
54%
24%
21%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 2
HUA
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |