Sporting Cristal vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MUN
3 - 2
SPC
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
AYA
5 - 3
SPC
28%
24%
47%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 1
SPC
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SPC
0 - 0
GAR
41%
26%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 3
SPC
36%
25%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
UTC
0 - 0
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 2
SRP
49%
27%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 0
AYA
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 1
MEL
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |