Sporting Cristal vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 3
SPC
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 0
SPC
39%
26%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
SPC
2 - 5
BOC
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 0
SPC
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SPC
7 - 2
VAL
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 2
AUR
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 3
MEL
34%
30%
36%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 0
GAR
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 0
MEL
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 0
COM
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |