Sporting Cristal vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
VAL
4 - 3
SPC
38%
26%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SPC
3 - 1
VAL
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 2
UNI
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 0
SPC
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
SPC
2 - 2
MEL
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
GAR
0 - 4
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 0
GAR
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 1
GAR
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MEL
4 - 1
AUR
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
SPC
2 - 2
MEL
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |