Sporting Cristal vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
4 - 2
SPC
36%
29%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
COM
0 - 2
SPC
29%
27%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SPC
5 - 2
GAR
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SPC
5 - 0
PAC
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 1
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GAR
1 - 0
MEL
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 1
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 2
MEL
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
MEL
4 - 4
HUA
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |