Sporting Cristal vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 3
SPC
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
SPC
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SPC
0 - 1
AUR
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
UNA
3 - 1
SPC
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 3
VAL
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 1
AUR
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MEL
5 - 0
UNI
35%
30%
35%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
TOT
2 - 2
MEL
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
MEL
3 - 1
HUA
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 0
MEL
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |