Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Sporting Cristal vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1995 |
EME
3 - 1
SPC
53%
24%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1995 |
SPC
6 - 3
CFC
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
CFC
2 - 2
SPC
55%
23%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1995 |
SPC
1 - 0
BOL
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1995 |
SPC
7 - 0
JWI
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1995 |
EME
3 - 1
SPC
53%
24%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1995 |
CCP
2 - 0
EME
58%
22%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
EME
2 - 0
CCP
47%
24%
30%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1995 |
GRE
4 - 1
EME
68%
19%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1995 |
PAL
2 - 1
EME
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |