Clausura Peru Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
SPC
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SPC
3 - 2
MEL
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 3
SPC
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 0
SPC
39%
26%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
SPC
2 - 5
BOC
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
SPC
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GAR
2 - 1
MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 3
SPC
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 0
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
VAL
3 - 0
MUN
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |