Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SPC
3 - 0
AUR
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
SPC
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SPC
2 - 1
GAR
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 1
SPC
29%
26%
46%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 0
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COM
1 - 2
MUN
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 1
VAL
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 1
MUN
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 4
AUR
41%
27%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
MUN
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |