Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CIE
1 - 0
SPC
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SPC
2 - 0
MEL
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
SPC
0 - 2
RAC
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SPC
0 - 2
AUR
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
RAC
1 - 2
SPC
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 1
SAM
37%
26%
38%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
AUR
5 - 1
MUN
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CIE
0 - 0
MUN
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 0
MEL
36%
27%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 1
MUN
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |