Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 0
SPC
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
SPC
1 - 0
BOL
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ALI
0 - 1
SPC
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
SPC
1 - 0
CIE
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
SPC
1 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MUN
2 - 2
SAM
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
MUN
2 - 2
SBO
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
TOT
4 - 1
MUN
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
MUN
2 - 0
SPO
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
UNI
2 - 1
MUN
64%
23%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |