Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability

2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.8%
Win probability

0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
03 Feb. 2007 |
ALI
![]() 0 - 0
![]() SPC
36%
27%
36%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
31 Jan. 2007 |
SPC
![]() 2 - 1
![]() AME
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
24 Jan. 2007 |
AME
![]() 5 - 0
![]() SPC
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
16 Dec. 2006 |
ALI
![]() 0 - 0
![]() SPC
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
10 Dec. 2006 |
SPC
![]() 0 - 2
![]() SAM
63%
22%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
03 Feb. 2007 |
MUN
![]() 1 - 2
![]() MEL
54%
24%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
21 Oct. 2006 |
MUN
![]() 1 - 1
![]() AYA
57%
24%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
14 Oct. 2006 |
SMA
![]() 0 - 0
![]() MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
08 Oct. 2006 |
MUN
![]() 1 - 0
![]() IAS
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
01 Oct. 2006 |
ALF
![]() 2 - 1
![]() MUN
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |