Sporting Cristal vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1996 |
SPC
3 - 3
PEÑ
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
SPC
0 - 2
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
SPC
1 - 1
EME
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1995 |
EME
3 - 1
SPC
53%
24%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1995 |
SPC
6 - 3
CFC
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
UNI
1 - 1
DEF
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1996 |
DEF
2 - 4
PEÑ
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
VEL
0 - 0
DEF
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1994 |
DEF
1 - 1
VEL
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1994 |
DEF
1 - 1
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |