Sporting Cristal vs Defensor Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
NAC
3 - 0
SPC
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
UCO
0 - 0
SPC
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
DEF
2 - 0
SPC
24%
21%
55%
|
75 | 30 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1973 |
CCP
5 - 0
SPC
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1973 |
OLI
1 - 0
SPC
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 0
DEF
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
UCO
1 - 0
DEF
85%
10%
6%
|
33 | 76 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
DEF
2 - 0
SPC
24%
21%
55%
|
30 | 75 | 45 | +3 |