Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
AYA
1 - 2
SPC
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
SPC
3 - 2
UTC
70%
18%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
SPC
25%
26%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 1
COM
56%
23%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 1
GUA
26%
21%
53%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
CIE
1 - 0
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
CIE
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CIE
1 - 1
GAR
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
HUA
0 - 0
CIE
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
CIE
4 - 2
LEO
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |