Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
12%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 5
SPC
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 3
SPC
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 0
AUR
63%
21%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 2
SPC
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 1
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CIE
3 - 0
MEL
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
CIE
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CIE
0 - 1
LOS
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 0
CIE
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
CIE
1 - 1
UTC
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |