Sporting Cristal vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SPC
4 - 1
MEL
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
4 - 2
SPC
36%
29%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
COM
0 - 2
SPC
29%
27%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SPC
5 - 2
GAR
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 0
SLO
51%
27%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
COL
0 - 2
VEL
30%
28%
42%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 1
GOD
53%
26%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 3
VEL
39%
29%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 0
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |