Sporting Cristal vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
42.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1980 |
VEL
2 - 0
SPC
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1980 |
RIV
3 - 2
SPC
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
SPC
0 - 0
CHA
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 11 | 63 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1978 |
SPC
3 - 0
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1978 |
SPC
1 - 0
OPE
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1980 |
VEL
0 - 0
SLO
70%
19%
12%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1980 |
IND
1 - 0
VEL
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1980 |
VEL
2 - 3
TIG
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1980 |
VEL
5 - 2
CHA
92%
6%
2%
|
83 | 11 | 72 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
RIV
0 - 1
VEL
67%
21%
13%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |