Sporting Cristal vs Bolognesi Tacna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 1
SPC
45%
28%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SPC
2 - 1
CIE
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2008 |
SPC
0 - 1
UNI
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
AUR
2 - 1
SPC
35%
30%
35%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
SPC
3 - 0
GAL
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bolognesi Tacna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 1
MEL
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BOL
0 - 2
SAM
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 2
BOL
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
GAL
3 - 1
BOL
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
BOL
0 - 0
SBO
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |