Copa Libertadores qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 3-3
Sporting Cristal vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
SPC
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 0
VEL
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SPC
4 - 1
MEL
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
4 - 2
SPC
36%
29%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
COM
0 - 2
SPC
29%
27%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ATP
1 - 1
OPE
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
ATP
0 - 1
TCW
85%
12%
3%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
PRU
0 - 0
ATP
7%
16%
77%
|
81 | 41 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ATP
5 - 1
VAS
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
ATP
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |